Supra
Registered User
- Joined
- Nov 24, 2009
- Messages
- 2,200
I just found out we are going to war with them and the air campaign is gonna cost $2 billion alone.. wtf?
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Why Syria? Why not Iran?
Why Syria? Why not Iran?
either way, we don't need another intervention. Syria is part of the U.N. let the UN do something for a change.
Iran? One reason basically strait of hormuz. You go to war with them, they block the world oil because they control that part of the water. Thus the world prices basically shoots really up and people grow weary and start to protest/riot etc... Not something you want.
Given that russia supplies syrian government with tanks and weapons I would not be surprised they are also giving some to Iran. The regime is not that stupid anymore so things are a bit tougher.
And apparently you got Iranian army then another set of army only loyal to the regime. Many many obstacles.
If anything syria is better. Syria and Iran are tight you fuck up syria and iran is left alone. (Well china and russia are always on the tyrants side these days for political reasons)
If iran assets will be targeted at least Israel do it. They have a better reason to.
These countries control a majority of the worlds crude oil, so if they are cut off from the world, essentially the rest of the world is cut off from oil.
I am sure our Navy would have no problem keeping it open though.
Straits of Hormuz is nowhere near as important as the Suez Canal. The only countries cut off would be Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, and about half of Iran & Saudi Arabia. Plus, Iran doesn't own the entirety of the Straits--they can claim domain over half of the Straits but the other side, the Southern half, belongs to Oman & the UAE. Anything that can pass through the Suez Canal can also pass through Bab-el-Mandeb--half of S.A.'s ports could be blocked but, if Iran deems it important, it's still a regional issue. Iran trying to close the Straits could result in a war directly with another Persian Gulf country and it also means that Iran will be under pressure to reopen the Straits to commercial traffic.
I honestly think the threat is phony and that the use of military force will have a far greater effect in raising oil prices than Iran's so-far empty posturing.
These countries control a majority of the worlds crude oil, so if they are cut off from the world, essentially the rest of the world is cut off from oil.
I am sure our Navy would have no problem keeping it open though.